莱特币

PriceAnalysis5/1:BTC,ETH,XRP,BCH,BSV,LTC,BNB,EOS,XTZ,XLM
作者source   时间2021-04-08   

Thetotalcryptomarketcapitalizationhasjumpedfromabout$198billiononApril22toover$263billiononApril30.This32%rallyinroughlyeightdaysshowsthatinvestorsentimentisbullish.Whilethisisapositivesign,theproblemisthatmostpeopleexpectarepeatofthepreviousbullrun.Butwithcoronavirusstillnotreignedin,investorsarelikelytoswaybetweenextremeoptimismandpessimism.Therefore,anyupmoveislikelytohaveitsshareofsharppullbacks.

CryptopioneerCharlieShrempaintedabullishpictureforBitcoin(BTC)duetotheupcominghalvingandthemassivequantitativeeasingseenacrosstheworld.Shrempointedoutthatduringtheprevioushalvingthepricedidnotdoubleinstantlybutitstartedabullphasethatresultedinamassiverally.Therefore,heanticipatesthatitmighttakeaboutonetotwoyearsforthecompleteimpacttobefelt.

Dailycryptocurrencymarketperformance.Source:Coin360

Mostmajorcryptocurrencieshavefaredexceedinglywellinthecurrentcrisiswhenthetraditionalmarketssuchasequitiesandcrudeoilhavecrumbled.Thisislikelytoattractalotofinstitutionalinvestorsintothisspace.

TopventurecapitalfirmAndreessenHorowitzhasraised$515million,$65millionmorethanitsinitialgoalof$460million,foritssecondcrypto-orientedfund.Thisshowsthegrowinginterestofinstitutionalinvestorsintheassetclass.Thereportsfromseveralcountriesandthetopcryptoexchangesalsoshowthatpeople’sinterestincryptohassurgedduringthecurrentcrisis.

Duetothis,jobopeningsinthecryptosectorhaveincreasedwhile“thetraditionalsystemseemstobecompletelybreakingdownallovertheworld,”accordingtoKrakenco-founderandCEOJessePowell.

Bitcoin(BTC),thetop-rankedcryptocurrencyonCoinMarketCap,surgedabovetheoverheadresistanceof$8,175onApril29.Thatwasfollowedthenextdaybyanothermovehigherthatcarriedthepriceabove$9,200.However,thebullscouldnotsustainthehigherlevelsasshort-termtradersbookedprofitsfollowingthesharprally.

BTC–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

However,thepositivethingwasthatthebullsboughtthedipto$8,401.06onApril30.Today,thebulls**ainpushedthepriceabove$9,000buttheyhavenotbeenabletosustainthehigherlevels.

Thissuggeststhatthebearsare**gressivelydefendingthe$9,200levels.Thiscouldresultinadroptothenextsupportat$8,175.49,whichislikelytobedefended**gressivelybythebulls.

IfBTCbouncesoffthecurrentlevelsor$8,175.49,thebullswillmakeanotherattempttopropelitabove$9,200.Ifsuccessful,arallyto$10,000ispossible.

However,ifthebullsstruggletoscalethepriceabove$9,200,thentraderscanbookprofitonabout70%ofthelongposition.Therestofthepositioncanbeheldwithadeeperstoploss,justbelowthe20-dayexponentialmovingaver**e($7,626)andasthemovingaver**emovesup,thestopscanbetrailedhigher.

Thisbullishviewwillbeinvalidatedifthepriceturnsdownfromthecurrentlevelsandplummetsbelow$7,454.17.

Ether(ETH)brokeabovetheascendingchannelonApril29butthebullscouldnotsustainthepriceabovethechannel.OnApril30,theprice**aindippedbackintothechannel.

Thissuggeststhatthebearsarestillactiveathigherlevels.

ETH–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Currently,thebullsare**ainattemptingtopushthesecondlargestcryptocurrencymarketcapitalizationabovethechannel.Ifsuccessful,itwillsuggestthatthebullshavesuccessfullyoverpoweredthebears.

TheETH/USDpairislikelytopickupmomentumonabreakabove$227.097.Abovethislevel,theupmovecanextendto$250andthento$289.599.

Conversely,ifthepairturnsdownfromthecurrentlevels,itislikelytodroptothe20-dayEMA($186).Traderscankeepthestopson50%oflongpositionsat$200andtherestat$185,justbelowthe20-dayEMA.

TherallyinXRPturnedaroundfrom$0.onApril30.However,thepositivethingisthatthebullshavesuccessfullydefendedthebreakoutlevelof$0..Thissuggeststhatthebullsarebuyingondips.

XRP–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Ifthepricesustainsabove$0.,thebullsarelikelytomakeanotherattempttopushXRP,whichistherankedthirdonCoinMarketCap,above$0..Ifsuccessful,arallytothedowntrendlineat$0.28ispossible.

However,ifthepriceturnsdownfrom$0.once**ain,afewdaysofrange-boundactionispossible.

Therefore,traderscanbookpartialprofitsonthelongpositionscloseto$0.ifthebullsstruggletobreakoutofthisresistance.Thestopsontheremainingpositionscanbekeptat$0.19.Abreakbelowthe20-dayEMAwillshifttheadvant**einfavorofthebears.

BitcoinCash(BCH)ralliedclosetotheoverheadresistanceof$280.47onApril30butcouldnotbreakoutofit.Thealtcointurneddownfrom$276.27.However,thepositivethingisthatthebullsareattemptingtodefendthepreviousresistanceturnedsupportof$250.

BCH–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Thebullsarelikelytomakeanotherattempttopushthepriceabove$280.47.Ifsuccessful,BCH,thefifthlargestcryptocurrencyonCoinMarketCap,islikelytopickupmomentumandrallytowards$350.

However,ifthebullsfailtopropelthepriceabove$280.47,afewmoredaysofrange-boundactionispossible.Traderscantrailthestopsonthelongpositionsto$230becauseifthislevelbreaks,adropto$200ispossible.

BitcoinSV(BSV)turneddownfromthe$227-$233.314resistancezoneonApril30.Thisshowsthatthebearsareactiveathigherlevels.However,thebounceoff$201.17onApril30suggeststhatthebullsarebuyingondips.

BSV–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

ThissuggeststhatBSV,thesixth-rankedcryptocurrencyonCoinMarketCap,islikelytoremainrange-boundforafewmoredays.

Abreakabove$233.314willindicatethatthebullshaveoverpoweredthebears.Abovethislevel,arallyto$268.842ispossible.

Conversely,ifthebearssinkthepricebelowthesupportat$203.40andthe20-dayEMA($195),adropto$187.160willbeonthecards.Therefore,thestop-lossonthelongpositionscanbetrailedhigherto$195.

Litecoin(LTC)brokeabovetheoverheadresistanceof$47.6551onApril29butcouldnotbuilduponit.Thealtcointurnedaroundfrom$50.7864onApril30anddroppedbelowthebreakoutlevelof$47.6551,whichsuggeststhatbearsareselling**gressivelyathigherlevels.

LTC–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Nevertheless,thedipto$45.5444onApril30waspurchasedandthebullswillonce**ainattempttopushthepriceabovethe$50.7864-$52.2767resistancezone.Ifsuccessful,arallyto$63.8769islikely.

Conversely,ifthebears**aindefendtheoverheadresistancezone,theseventhlargestcryptocurrencybymarketcapmightextenditsstayinsidetherangeforafewmoredays.Fornow,thestopsonthelongpositionscanbemaintainedat$42.

BinanceCoin(BNB)brokeabovetheoverheadresistanceof$17.4775onApril30butthebullscouldnotsustainthebreakoutandtheprice**aindippedbackin.Currently,thebullsare**ainattemptingtoscaleandsustainthepriceabove$17.4775.

BNB–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Ifsuccessful,BNB,rankedeighthonCoinMarketCap,islikelytopickupmomentumandrallytothenextoverheadlevelof$21.50.

Withthe20-dayEMAslopingupandtherelativestrengthindexsustainingabove60level,theadvant**eiswiththebulls.Thefirstsignofweaknesswouldbeabreakbelowthe20-dayEMA($15.90).Therefore,traderscantrailthestop-lossonthelongpositionsto$15.50.

EOSralliedclosetotheoverheadresistanceof$3.1802butfailedtoscaleaboveitonApril29and30.Althoughthedropfromthislevelbrokebelowthebreakoutlevelof$2.8319,thepricequicklyrebounded.

EOS–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Thissuggeststhatthebullsareattemptingtodefendthe$2.8319supportlevel.Ifthebullscancarrythepriceabove$3.1802,theuptrendislikelytoresume.Abovethislevel,thenexttargetobjectiveis$3.8811.

Conversely,ifEOS,theninth-rankedcryptocurrencyonCoinMarketCap,turnsdownfrom$3.1802once**ain,afewdaysofrange-boundactionispossible.Therefore,traderscanbookpartialprofitsifthebullsstruggletobreakoutof$3.1802andkeepthestop-lossontherestofthelongpositionat$2.50.

Tezos(XTZ)brokeabovetheoverheadresistanceof$2.8969onApril29butthebearsdr**geditbackbelow$2.7529onApril30.Thissuggeststhatsellersareactiveathigherlevels.

XTZ–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

However,withthe20-dayEMAslopingupandtheRSItradingneartheoverboughtzone,theadvant**eiswiththebulls.

Therefore,thebullsarelikelytomakeanotherattempttocarryXTZ,whichisrankedtenthonCoinMarketCap,above$2.8969-$3.0603resistancezone.Ifsuccessful,arallyto$3.2712islikely.Fornow,thestoplossontheremaininglongpositionscanbekeptat$2.55.

Thebullsarefacingstiffresistanceat$0.forthepasttwodays.ThoughStellarLumens(XLM)turneddownonApril30,thebullssteppedintobuyat$0.,whichsuggestsdemandatlowerlevels.

XLM–USDdailychart.Source:Tradingview

Ifthebullspushthepriceabove$0.,arallyto$0.islikely.Thisislikelytobeahugebarriertocrossastheeleventhlargestcrypto-assetbymarketcapitalizationhasturneddownfromthislevelthricebefore(markedasellipsesonthechart).

Conversely,ifthebullsfailtoscaleandsustainthepriceabove$0.,afewdaysofrange-boundactionispossible.Abreakbelowthe20-dayEMA($0.059)willindicatethatthetrendhasshiftedinfavorofthebears.

TheviewsandopinionsexpressedherearesolelythoseoftheauthoranddonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsofCointelegraph.Everyinvestmentandtradingmoveinvolvesrisk.Youshouldconductyourownresearchwhenmakingadecision.

MarketdataisprovidedbyHitBTCexchange.

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